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The opening of this shiur, in Rabbi Dovid Orlofsky’s own words — taken from the captions, so names and Hebrew terms may be approximate.
[Music] the series on reasons to believe First reason we started with is the prediction I call it the gold standard you want a reason to believe something idea Theory proposition hypothesis if that idea Etc makes a prediction and it comes true and not any old kind of prediction what you want is for your idea to make a prediction that other alternative points of view will reject either reject absolutely or say it's just so unlikely it's not reasonable to think it's going to happen and then it comes true that counts as evidence for you because it shows you're in a better position than your competitors may not end the story may not fully prove that you're right but it certainly counts in your favor and that's why making a prediction a prediction of that kind um is an important piece of evidence that was point one are we together up to there okay so then I said that in chapters 28 through 30 of Deuteronomy there's a lot of material predicting a conquest and destruction and Exile worldwide scatter and survival of the culture and the return to the point of origin and I said in that area of text there are three types of statements one type of statement is predicting something that everybody would expect because it's very natural and that doesn't count because your competitive can say of course that's going to happen we of course expect the same thing as you doesn't count for you against them so may be true but it doesn't cut any ice doesn't do you any doesn't give you any benefit in terms of making you more likely that
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- 0:06[Music] the series on reasons to believe First reason we started with is the prediction I…
- 3:19one of those predictions is something which from any other point of view is very unlikely…
- 7:36prediction must it always be one which could be shown wrong is that really a Criterion…
- 10:49so this hypothesis there are magnetic manoles is a hypothesis which can't be falsified but it…
- 14:28exile is a prediction of a punishment for a crime punishment coming from God we expect…
- 18:13necessary I would have another response if someone could respond to my critique of the whole…
- 21:21the land that's what the second half of the sentence says right you're just chopping a…
- 25:03like if you were going to give this she 100 years ago we wouldn't you know…
- 28:17science it's really an encyclopedic work on the status of Science in terms of the Torah…
- 31:59if there's a concept that science has changed throughout time and there's no way to use…
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